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Wednesday, 8 July 2026

· Analysis updated 13:09 UTC

Dekani vs Bihor Oradea Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Dekani and 1.14 for Bihor Oradea, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Dekani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dekani home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bihor Oradea away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dekani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 28% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for Dekani and 1.14 for Bihor Oradea, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Dekani win38%
Draw28%
Bihor Oradea win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

Dekani

  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilirija · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Krka · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Beltinci · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tabor Sežana · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Krško · 0-0 (D)

Bihor Oradea

  • 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T10:30:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.