· Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
Denver Summit W vs Seattle Reign FC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Denver Summit W and 1.18 for Seattle Reign FC W, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Denver Summit W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Denver Summit W or Draw
69.0% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–07.6%
Why the model likes this
Denver Summit W home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Denver Summit W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 26% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Denver Summit W and 1.18 for Seattle Reign FC W, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Denver Summit W
- 2026-08-15T02:00:00.000Z · A vs San Diego Wave W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-09T02:00:00.000Z · H vs Utah Royals W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T02:00:00.000Z · H vs North Carolina Courage W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-03T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston Legacy W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Washington Spirit W · 0-1 (L)
Seattle Reign FC W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Utah Royals W | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 36 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 30 |
| 7 | Kansas City W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Seattle Reign FC W | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Angel City W | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Boston Legacy W | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 20 |
| 13 | Houston Dash W | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 20 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | -25 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.