· Analysis updated 06:18 UTC
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Copiapo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Deportes Temuco and 1.47 for Deportes Copiapo, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Deportes Temuco the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Deportes Temuco win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deportes Temuco home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Deportes Copiapo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deportes Temuco to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Deportes Temuco and 1.47 for Deportes Copiapo, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Deportes Temuco
- 2026-10-03T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Cobreloa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-15T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Espanola · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Santiago Wanderers · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers de Talca · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs D. Puerto Montt · 3-1 (W)
Deportes Copiapo
- 2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Union San Felipe · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Magallanes · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T00:00:00.000Z · A vs San Marcos de Arica · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Antofagasta · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Recoleta · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 40 |
| 9 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Union Espanola | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | D. Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -32 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -18 | 21 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Deportes Temuco win, at 47.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.