Deportivo Capiata vs 12 de Junio VH Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Deportivo Capiata and 1.45 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives 12 de Junio VH the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Deportivo Capiata home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
12 de Junio VH away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 12 de Junio VH to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 34% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Deportivo Capiata and 1.45 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Deportivo Capiata win34%

Draw26%

12 de Junio VH win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–112.1%
0–19.3%
1–28.7%
1–08.3%
2–17.8%

Recent form

Deportivo Capiata

2026-10-02T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 12 de Junio VH · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-21T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 0-1 (L)

12 de Junio VH

2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-24T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Paraguari AC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-14T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-31T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Santani	30	19	3	8	24	60
2	General Caballero	30	17	6	7	21	57
3	12 de Junio VH	30	15	10	5	11	55
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	7	47
5	SOL DE America	30	10	15	5	7	45
6	Independiente F.b.c.	30	11	10	9	5	43
7	Sportivo Carapeguá	30	12	7	11	-6	43
8	Benjamín Aceval	29	12	6	11	4	42
9	Resistencia	29	10	9	10	0	39
10	Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	-7	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	-3	35
12	Fernando De La Mora	30	9	7	14	-12	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	-8	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	-15	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	-14	27
16	Encarnación	30	7	5	18	-14	26

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.