Argentina · Primera Nacional · Matchweek 2319:00

2 – 0

Sunday, 2 August 2026

All BoysDDLDD

Estadio Abel Sastre · Analysis updated 14:42 UTC

Deportivo Madryn vs All Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.88 for All Boys, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Deportivo Madryn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

72.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.17 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Deportivo Madryn home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • All Boys away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Deportivo Madryn win43%
Draw30%
All Boys win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–015.1%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–012.9%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 2–08.9%

Recent form

Deportivo Madryn

  • 2026-10-24T22:00:00.000Z · H vs San Telmo · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Acassuso · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Chaco For Ever · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferro Carril Oeste · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Central Norte · 0-0 (D)

All Boys

  • 2026-10-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Los Andes · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Godoy Cruz · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Moron · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Colon Santa Fe · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs San Miguel · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-02T19:00:00.000Z · Deportivo Madryn 2-0 All Boys (Primera Nacional)
  • 2026-03-14T19:00:00.000Z · Deportivo Madryn 0-1 All Boys (Primera Nacional)
  • 2025-09-23T00:05:00.000Z · Deportivo Madryn 0-0 All Boys (Primera Nacional)
  • 2025-05-18T18:30:00.000Z · Deportivo Madryn 2-1 All Boys (Primera Nacional)
  • 2022-05-21T00:00:00.000Z · Deportivo Madryn 1-1 All Boys (Primera Nacional)

Primera Nacional table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste351988765
2Godoy Cruz3417981660
3Deportivo Moron34177101558
4Deportivo Madryn35151282057
5Colon Santa Fe35151281657
6Ciudad de Bolívar35131210-151
7Almirante Brown34121210448
8CA Estudiantes3413912148
9Chaco For Ever35111014043
10Los Andes3491411141
11Racing Cordoba34101014-1040
12Atletico Mitre3481511-839
13Defensores De Belgrano3481412-738
14San Telmo3591115-1238
15Central Norte3471611-837
16All Boys3461711-1035
17Acassuso348917-1033
18San Miguel3461414-1432
1Tristan Suarez35161541863
2Temperley34161261360
3Gimnasia Jujuy3416108958
4Atlanta3418412758
5Gimnasia Y Tiro34141010652
6Midland34149111151
7Colegiales3514912451
8Deportivo Maipu3413912748
9San Martin S.J.34121111247
10San Martin Tucuman35111311246
11Atletico DE Rafaela35121013-646
12Quilmes3511915242
13Almagro3511915-1042
14Agropecuario34101014-1140
15Patronato3471611-437
16Chacarita Juniors3410618-936
17Nueva Chicago349916-936
18Club Atlético Güemes346820-3226

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.