Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros · Analysis updated 00:21 UTC
Deportivo Rincon vs Huracan Las Heras Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Deportivo Rincon and 0.85 for Huracan Las Heras, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives Deportivo Rincon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72.1% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deportivo Rincon home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan Las Heras away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deportivo Rincon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 31% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Deportivo Rincon and 0.85 for Huracan Las Heras, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.7%
- 0–014.2%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.1%
- 2–08.6%
Recent form
Deportivo Rincon
- 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santamarina · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Fundacion Amigos · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Costa Brava · 1-1 (D)
Huracan Las Heras
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Villa Mitre · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Antoniana · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-12T18:30:00.000Z · Deportivo Rincon 0-1 Huracan Las Heras (Torneo Federal A)
- 2026-05-10T19:00:00.000Z · Deportivo Rincon 1-1 Huracan Las Heras (Torneo Federal A)
- 2024-09-08T18:30:00.000Z · Deportivo Rincon 0-1 Huracan Las Heras (Torneo Federal A)
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.