· Analysis updated 07:24 UTC
Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Deportivo San Pedro and 1.01 for Comunicaciones, a combined total of 2.44. That distribution gives Deportivo San Pedro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Deportivo San Pedro win
46.6% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deportivo San Pedro home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Comunicaciones away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deportivo San Pedro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Deportivo San Pedro and 1.01 for Comunicaciones, a combined 2.44 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–18.8%
Recent form
Deportivo San Pedro
- 2026-10-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-16T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Suchitepéquez · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Comunicaciones · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Xelajú · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Guastatoya · 1-2 (L)
Comunicaciones
- 2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Antigua GFC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Malacateco · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo San Pedro · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Suchitepéquez · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | Mixco | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Xelajú | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | Marquense | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Aurora | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Cobán Imperial | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Suchitepéquez | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Deportivo San Pedro win, at 46.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.