Venezuela · Primera División · Clausura - 222:30

1 – 0

Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo · Referee Y. Herrera · Analysis updated 18:16 UTC

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Portuguesa FC in the Primera División: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Deportivo Tachira FC home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Deportivo Tachira FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Deportivo Tachira FC and 1.18 for Portuguesa FC, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Deportivo Tachira FC or Portuguesa FC yet, so these numbers are a Primera División scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Deportivo Tachira FC win44%
Draw26%
Portuguesa FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Deportivo Tachira FC

  • 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo La Guaira · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Puerto Cabello · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Merida FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Rayo Zuliano · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-02T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Zamora FC · 5-2 (W)

Portuguesa FC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera División table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Metropolitanos FC2617632657
    2Deportivo Tachira FC2615651851
    3Deportivo La Guaira2612861344
    4Carabobo FC26101151441
    5Puerto Cabello2610106940
    6Portuguesa FC2691251039
    7UCV261169239
    8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079237
    9Caracas FC267118-332
    10Monagas SC268513-829
    11Zamora FC266713-1525
    12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
    13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
    14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417
    1Deportivo La Guaira13760927
    2Metropolitanos FC13742725
    3Deportivo Tachira FC13733524
    4UCV13724423
    5Portuguesa FC13553820
    6Estudiantes de Merida FC13625320
    7Carabobo FC13472919
    8Puerto Cabello13454217
    9Zamora FC13454017
    10Caracas FC13364-215
    11Rayo Zuliano13427-1014
    12Monagas SC13328-811
    13Anzoátegui FC13238-109
    14Trujillanos FC13049-174
    1Puerto Cabello6312110
    1Carabobo FC6321511
    2Portuguesa FC6222-18
    2Deportivo Tachira FC6321311
    3Deportivo La Guaira614107
    3Metropolitanos FC6222-28
    4UCV613206
    4Estudiantes de Merida FC6105-63
    1Metropolitanos FC1310211932
    2Deportivo Tachira FC138321327
    3Puerto Cabello13652723
    4Carabobo FC13643522
    5Portuguesa FC13472219
    6Monagas SC13535018
    7Deportivo La Guaira13526417
    8Caracas FC13454-117
    9Estudiantes de Merida FC13454-117
    10UCV13445-216
    11Trujillanos FC13427-614
    12Rayo Zuliano13328-1111
    13Anzoátegui FC13229-148
    14Zamora FC13229-158
    1Carabobo FC000000
    1Deportivo Tachira FC110013
    2Portuguesa FC000000
    2Puerto Cabello110013
    3Deportivo La Guaira000000
    3Caracas FC1001-10
    4Metropolitanos FC000000
    4Monagas SC1001-10

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.