The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium · Referee J. Goncalves · Analysis updated 10:10 UTC
Derry City vs HNK Rijeka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Derry City vs HNK Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Derry City home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Derry City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Derry City and 1.18 for HNK Rijeka, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Why this is a baseline estimate
No fixture-specific data was available for Derry City or HNK Rijeka yet, so these numbers are a UEFA Europa Conference League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.
Recent form
Derry City
- 2026-08-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs UCD · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Sligo Rovers · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St Patrick's Athl. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-30T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HNK Rijeka · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-23T18:45:00.000Z · A vs HNK Rijeka · 0-1 (L)
HNK Rijeka
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.