· Analysis updated 05:21 UTC
Desportivo Brasil U20 vs Bandeirante U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Desportivo Brasil U20 and 0.85 for Bandeirante U20, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Desportivo Brasil U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Desportivo Brasil U20 win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Desportivo Brasil U20 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bandeirante U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Desportivo Brasil U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 23% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Desportivo Brasil U20 and 0.85 for Bandeirante U20, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.2%
Recent form
Desportivo Brasil U20
- 2026-10-17T18:45:00.000Z · A vs São Paulo U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs São Paulo U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Oeste U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Oeste U20 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Oeste U20 · 1-1 (D)
Bandeirante U20
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Bragantino U20 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Bragantino U20 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs XV de Piracicaba U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs EC São Bernardo U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Botafogo SP U20 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-03T18:00:00.000Z · Desportivo Brasil U20 1-0 Bandeirante U20 (Paulista - U20)
- 2025-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · Desportivo Brasil U20 1-0 Bandeirante U20 (Paulista - U20)
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Desportivo Brasil U20 win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.