· Analysis updated 19:36 UTC
Deutschlandsberger SC vs Hartberg (Am) Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.75 for Hartberg (Am), a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Hartberg (Am) the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hartberg (Am) win
55.0% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deutschlandsberger SC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hartberg (Am) away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hartberg (Am) to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 22% / 24% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.75 for Hartberg (Am), a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.4%
Recent form
Deutschlandsberger SC
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Lafnitz · 3-0 (W)
Hartberg (Am)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalsdorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Allerheiligen · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T08:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Lafnitz · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Treibach | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Austria Klagenfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Völkermarkt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Weiz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Tillmitsch | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Hartberg (Am) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Allerheiligen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 | Bleiburg | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hartberg (Am) win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.