Austria · Regionalliga - South · South - 717:00

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Friday, 18 September 2026

KalsdorfDDLLW

· Analysis updated 15:58 UTC

Deutschlandsberger SC vs Kalsdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.34 for Kalsdorf, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Deutschlandsberger SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Deutschlandsberger SC win

46.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.34

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Deutschlandsberger SC home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kalsdorf away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Deutschlandsberger SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.34 for Kalsdorf, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Deutschlandsberger SC win46%
Draw24%
Kalsdorf win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–06.9%

Recent form

Deutschlandsberger SC

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Lafnitz · 3-0 (W)

Kalsdorf

  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Gleisdorf 09 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Grazer AK · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tillmitsch · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - South table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Velden13751826
2Treibach13724823
3Austria Klagenfurt13724423
4Deutschlandsberger SC12642622
5Völkermarkt126241120
6Kalsdorf12543419
7Weiz12462418
8SV Lafnitz12462218
9Wolfsberger AC12534218
10Tillmitsch12354-114
11Hartberg (Am)12345-513
12Allerheiligen12336-112
13Gleisdorf 0912327-911
14Wolfsberg13256-1711
15Bleiburg13247-610
16Donau Klagenfurt13157-108

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Deutschlandsberger SC win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.