· Analysis updated 08:35 UTC
Deutschlandsberger SC vs Tillmitsch Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.05 for Tillmitsch, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Deutschlandsberger SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Deutschlandsberger SC win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deutschlandsberger SC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tillmitsch away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deutschlandsberger SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.05 for Tillmitsch, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–16.4%
Recent form
Deutschlandsberger SC
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Lafnitz · 3-0 (W)
Tillmitsch
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gleisdorf 09 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalsdorf · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Völkermarkt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Treibach | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Austria Klagenfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Weiz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Tillmitsch | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Hartberg (Am) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Allerheiligen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 | Bleiburg | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Deutschlandsberger SC win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.