· Analysis updated 12:27 UTC
Deutschlandsberger SC vs Weiz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Deutschlandsberger SC and 1.25 for Weiz, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Deutschlandsberger SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Deutschlandsberger SC win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Deutschlandsberger SC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Weiz away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.5%
Recent form
Deutschlandsberger SC
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiz · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Lafnitz · 3-0 (W)
Weiz
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Allerheiligen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Lafnitz · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 0-4 Weiz (Regionalliga - South)
- 2026-03-13T18:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 3-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2025-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 2-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2025-03-21T18:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 2-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2024-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 2-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2024-04-05T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 0-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2023-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 1-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2023-04-07T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 1-2 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2022-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 3-1 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2022-05-25T17:00:00.000Z · Deutschlandsberger SC 1-1 Weiz (Regionalliga - Mitte)
Regionalliga - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Völkermarkt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Treibach | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Austria Klagenfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Weiz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Tillmitsch | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Hartberg (Am) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Allerheiligen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 | Bleiburg | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Deutschlandsberger SC win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.