United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · Matchweek 2213:55

1 – 2

Sunday, 12 April 2026

· Analysis updated 11:07 UTC

Dibba Al Fujairah U23 vs Al Jazira U23 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Dibba Al Fujairah U23 and 1.50 for Al Jazira U23, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Dibba Al Fujairah U23 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dibba Al Fujairah U23 win

53.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Jazira U23 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dibba Al Fujairah U23 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 20% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.20 goals for Dibba Al Fujairah U23 and 1.50 for Al Jazira U23, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Dibba Al Fujairah U23 win54%
Draw20%
Al Jazira U23 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–26.1%

Recent form

Dibba Al Fujairah U23

    Al Jazira U23

    • 2026-08-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Sharjah U23 · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-17T14:10:00.000Z · H vs Hatta U23 · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-05-17T14:10:00.000Z · A vs Bani Yas U23 · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-12T14:10:00.000Z · A vs Al Wasl U23 · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-05-06T14:05:00.000Z · H vs Ajman U23 · 5-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Pro League U23 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Al Ain U2366001318
    2Ajman U236420414
    3Al Wahda U236411513
    4Al Sharjah U236330712
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U236312010
    6Al Jazira U23623129
    7Al Dhafra U236213-17
    8Ittihad Kalba U236213-27
    9Al Wasl U236132-16
    10United FC U236204-66
    11Hatta U236123-15
    12Al Nasr U236114-54
    13Khorfakkan U236114-74
    14Bani Yas U236015-81

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dibba Al Fujairah U23 win, at 53.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

    A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.