United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · Matchweek 2416:45

2 – 1

Tuesday, 5 May 2026

Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium · Referee N. Alali · Analysis updated 12:01 UTC

Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Al Bataeh Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Dibba Al-Fujairah and 1.37 for Al Bataeh, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Dibba Al-Fujairah the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dibba Al-Fujairah home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Al Bataeh away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dibba Al-Fujairah to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 24% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Dibba Al-Fujairah and 1.37 for Al Bataeh, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dibba Al-Fujairah win45%
Draw24%
Al Bataeh win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–06.7%

Recent form

Dibba Al-Fujairah

  • 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Ittifaq · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Thaid · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Gulf United · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-21T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Dubai City · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ain · 0-4 (L)

Al Bataeh

  • 2026-10-11T13:10:00.000Z · A vs Dibba Al Hisn · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Hamriyah · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Emirates Club · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Arabi · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Pro League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Jazira6420914
2Shabab Al Ahli Dubai6411713
3Al-Wasl FC64111113
4Al Ain6411513
5Al Wahda FC6402212
6Sharjah FC6402512
7Ajman6303-39
8Al Nasr622218
9Dubai United6213-57
10Al-Dhafra6204-26
11Al-Ittihad Kalba6123-75
12Khorfakkan6114-84
13Hatta SC6105-83
14Baniyas SC6015-71

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.