Fujairah Club Stadium · Analysis updated 09:03 UTC
Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Ittifaq Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Dibba Al-Fujairah and 1.70 for Ittifaq, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Ittifaq the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.1% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dibba Al-Fujairah home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ittifaq away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ittifaq to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Dibba Al-Fujairah and 1.70 for Ittifaq, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.8%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Dibba Al-Fujairah
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Arabi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T13:10:00.000Z · A vs Al Jazira Al Hamra · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Ittifaq · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Ittifaq · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Thaid · 0-2 (L)
Ittifaq
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Dibba Al-Fujairah · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Gulf United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:05:00.000Z · A vs Dubai City · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Urooba · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-21T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Bataeh · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-22T14:40:00.000Z · Dibba Al-Fujairah 1-3 Ittifaq (Presidents Cup)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · Dibba Al-Fujairah 4-1 Ittifaq (Division 1)
Presidents Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Urooba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Al Fujairah SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Al Arabi | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Palm City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Ittifaq | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Khorfakkan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Wahda FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al-Jazira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Baniyas SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Hatta SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Sharjah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Al Thaid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Dibba Al Hisn | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Al-Wasl FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Al Ain | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Al-Dhafra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Emirates Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Al Hamriyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Ajman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Al Nasr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Dubai City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Dubai United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Forte Virtus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Gulf United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Al Bataeh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.