Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium · Analysis updated 06:40 UTC
Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Thaid Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Dibba Al Hisn and 1.64 for Al Thaid, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Dibba Al Hisn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.6% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dibba Al Hisn home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Al Thaid away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dibba Al Hisn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Dibba Al Hisn and 1.64 for Al Thaid, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
Dibba Al Hisn
- 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-29T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Palm City · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:05:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 0-1 (L)
Al Thaid
- 2026-09-28T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Hamriyah · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al-Fujairah · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:05:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Dubai City · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Emirates Club | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Urooba | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Fujairah SC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Forte Virtus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Hamriyah | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Al Bataeh | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Gulf United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Palm City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dubai City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.