· Analysis updated 01:18 UTC
Diegem Sport vs Royal Antwerp II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Diegem Sport and 1.72 for Royal Antwerp II, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Royal Antwerp II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.2% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Diegem Sport home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Royal Antwerp II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Royal Antwerp II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Diegem Sport and 1.72 for Royal Antwerp II, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Diegem Sport
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tongeren · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs De Kempen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Francs Borains · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bocholt · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sint-Truiden II · 2-6 (L)
Royal Antwerp II
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Mechelen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tempo Overijse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Nijlen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Rupel Boom | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Diegem Sport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.