Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 2314:30

1 – 2

Sunday, 21 June 2026

· Analysis updated 04:10 UTC

Dikaki vs Bitam Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Dikaki and 1.76 for Bitam, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Bitam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bitam win

53.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dikaki home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bitam away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bitam to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 23% / 24% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.06 goals for Dikaki and 1.76 for Bitam, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dikaki win23%
Draw24%
Bitam win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–111.1%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 1–06.3%

Recent form

Dikaki

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bitam · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)

Bitam

  • 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bitam win, at 53.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.