· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
Dikaki vs Cercle Mbéri Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Dikaki and 1.91 for Cercle Mbéri, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Cercle Mbéri the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cercle Mbéri win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dikaki home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Cercle Mbéri away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cercle Mbéri to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 16% / 22% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Dikaki and 1.91 for Cercle Mbéri, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.3%
- 0–211.8%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–37.5%
Recent form
Dikaki
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bitam · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
Cercle Mbéri
- 2026-07-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-14T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cercle Mbéri win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.