Dila vs Apollon Limassol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Dila and 1.33 for Apollon Limassol, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives Apollon Limassol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.2% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dila win30%

Draw27%

Apollon Limassol win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–112.9%
0–112.1%
1–09.7%
0–09.1%
1–28.6%

Why the model likes this

Dila home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Apollon Limassol away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Apollon Limassol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 30% / 27% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Dila and 1.33 for Apollon Limassol, a combined 2.39 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Dila

2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gori · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Limassol · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iberia 2010 · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Limassol · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Virtus · 0-1 (L)

Apollon Limassol

2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dila · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dila · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.