· Analysis updated 11:02 UTC
Dimitrovgrad vs Gigant Saedinenie Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Dimitrovgrad and 1.75 for Gigant Saedinenie, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Dimitrovgrad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dimitrovgrad win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dimitrovgrad home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Gigant Saedinenie away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 3–15.7%
Recent form
Dimitrovgrad
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rozova dolina · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Yambol 1915 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagorets · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sozopol · 1-3 (L)
Gigant Saedinenie
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Levski Krumovgrad · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Milevo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 0-4 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 2-0 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-03-15T13:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 0-2 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 1-3 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-06-01T14:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 2-3 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2023-11-25T12:30:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 0-0 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2023-06-02T15:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 3-2 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2022-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 1-3 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2022-05-07T15:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 2-2 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
- 2021-10-30T13:00:00.000Z · Dimitrovgrad 0-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Krumovgrad | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 36 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 27 |
| 4 | Neftochimic Burgas | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Sayana Haskovo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | Yambol 1915 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Rodopa Smolyan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Gigant Saedinenie | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Sozopol | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Rozova dolina | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Dimitrovgrad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 12 | Zagorets | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Botev Plovdiv II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 8 |
| 16 | Atletik Kuklen | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dimitrovgrad win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.