Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy · Referee A. Kurgheli · Analysis updated 16:29 UTC
Dinamo Brest vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.55 for FC Isloch Minsk R., a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Dinamo Brest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.3% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Brest home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Brest to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.55 for FC Isloch Minsk R., a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Dinamo Brest
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Dnepr Mogilev · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ML Vitebsk · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baranovichi · 1-1 (D)
FC Isloch Minsk R.
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Minsk · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Vitebsk · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Neman · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Gomel · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 12 | Belshina | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Arsenal | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | Naftan | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.