Romania · Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 214:00

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Friday, 4 September 2026

· Analysis updated 10:33 UTC

Dinamo Bucureşti II vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Dinamo Bucureşti II and 0.93 for Axi Adunații-Copăceni, a combined total of 2.17. That distribution gives Dinamo Bucureşti II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

72.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Bucureşti II home form

    0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Axi Adunații-Copăceni away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Bucureşti II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 29% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.24 goals for Dinamo Bucureşti II and 0.93 for Axi Adunații-Copăceni, a combined 2.17 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Bucureşti II win43%
Draw29%
Axi Adunații-Copăceni win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 1–014.1%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 2–08.7%

Recent form

Dinamo Bucureşti II

  • 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs LPS HD Clinceni · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 3-0 (W)

Axi Adunații-Copăceni

  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Omega Sport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Spartac · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 5 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.