Romania · Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 2nd Phase - 715:00

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Friday, 15 May 2026

· Analysis updated 05:51 UTC

Dinamo Bucureşti II vs FCSB II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Dinamo Bucureşti II and 1.45 for FCSB II, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Dinamo Bucureşti II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Bucureşti II win

51.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Bucureşti II home form

    0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • FCSB II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Bucureşti II win51%
Draw21%
FCSB II win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 2–06.4%

Recent form

Dinamo Bucureşti II

  • 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs LPS HD Clinceni · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 3-0 (W)

FCSB II

  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Omega Sport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Spartac · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alexandria · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-0 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 5)
  • 2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-3 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 3)
  • 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-0 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 3)
  • 2025-10-31T13:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 2-4 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 3)
  • 2020-11-13T12:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-2 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 4)
  • 2020-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Bucureşti II 3-2 FCSB II (Liga III - Serie 4)

Liga III - Serie 3 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flacăra Moreni109102928
2Tunari107211123
3Blejoi10523517
4Berca10523417
5Voința Crevedia10415213
6Progresul Draganesti10343-713
7Pucioasa10334112
8Urban Titu10334-512
9Râmnicu Sărat10334-912
10Plopeni10316-1010
11Viitorul Corbeanca10145-77
12Păuleşti10028-142

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dinamo Bucureşti II win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.