Romania · Liga I · Matchweek 418:30

4 – 0

Saturday, 8 August 2026

FC VoluntariLLLLL

National Arena · Referee Iulian Calin, Romania · Analysis updated 14:49 UTC

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.58 expected goals for Dinamo Bucuresti and 1.00 for FC Voluntari, a combined total of 4.58. That distribution gives Dinamo Bucuresti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Bucuresti win

83.8% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.58 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Bucuresti home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Voluntari away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Bucuresti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.58 goals for Dinamo Bucuresti and 1.00 for FC Voluntari, a combined 4.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Bucuresti win84%
Draw10%
FC Voluntari win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 3–07.8%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 4–07.0%
  • 4–17.0%
  • 2–06.6%

Recent form

Dinamo Bucuresti

  • 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Lieşti · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 1-1 (D)

FC Voluntari

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti129212029
2Rapid13832827
3Universitatea Craiova128221826
4Petrolul Ploiesti13724123
5Universitatea Cluj13715522
6FCSB13634121
7Uta Arad13535-118
8Farul Constanta12453017
9CFR 1907 Cluj12516-116
10Corvinul Hunedoara13445-216
11FC Botosani13355014
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12354-514
13Arges Pitesti13337-612
14Oţelul12255-511
15FC Voluntari13229-168
16Csikszereda131210-175

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dinamo Bucuresti win, at 83.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.