Venezuela · Copa Venezuela · Round 1 - Group E22:00

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Wednesday, 9 September 2026

· Analysis updated 14:33 UTC

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Mineros de Guyana Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.69 expected goals for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz and 2.83 for Mineros de Guyana, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Mineros de Guyana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mineros de Guyana win

81.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.69 – 2.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mineros de Guyana away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mineros de Guyana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 6% / 12% / 81% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.69 goals for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz and 2.83 for Mineros de Guyana, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz win6%
Draw12%
Mineros de Guyana win81%

Double chance 1X

19%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

94%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 0–211.9%
  • 0–311.2%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 0–47.9%

Recent form

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz

  • 2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolívar · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Mineros de Guyana · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Monagas II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Mineros de Guyana · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Aragua FC · 0-2 (L)

Mineros de Guyana

  • 2026-10-25T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Avila FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-21T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Carabobo FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Marítimo · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Bolívar · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Aragua FC · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Copa Venezuela table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mineros de Guyana win, at 81.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.