Dinamo Ferizaj vs Suhareka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Dinamo Ferizaj and 0.93 for Suhareka, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Dinamo Ferizaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Ferizaj win

61.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dinamo Ferizaj home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Suhareka away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Ferizaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Dinamo Ferizaj and 0.93 for Suhareka, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Ferizaj win62%

Draw21%

Suhareka win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–010.9%
2–010.7%
1–110.1%
2–19.9%
3–07.1%

Recent form

Dinamo Ferizaj

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina e Re · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Besa Peja · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Suhareka · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tefik Canga · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KF Lepenci · 1-1 (D)

Suhareka

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kika · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Trepça Mitrovicë · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Ferizaj · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mitrovica · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramiz Sadiku · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Ferizaj 3-1 Suhareka (Liga E Pare)
2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Ferizaj 3-2 Suhareka (Liga E Pare)
2025-10-26T12:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Ferizaj 1-0 Suhareka (Liga E Pare)

Liga E Pare table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	9	5	4	0	12	19
2	Prishtina e Re	9	6	0	3	6	18
3	Liria Prizren	8	5	2	1	5	17
4	Rilindja 1974	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Trepça'89	9	4	4	1	5	16
6	Suhareka	9	3	4	2	5	13
7	Ferizaj	9	3	4	2	5	13
8	Istogu	9	4	1	4	-4	13
9	2 Korriku	9	3	3	3	1	12
10	FC Besa Peja	9	3	2	4	0	11
11	Trepça Mitrovicë	9	3	2	4	-7	11
12	Vjosa	9	2	4	3	1	10
13	Vëllaznimi	9	3	1	5	-7	10
14	Kika	9	1	6	2	-4	9
15	Ramiz Sadiku	9	1	5	3	-4	8
16	KF Lepenci	9	1	5	3	-4	8
17	Mitrovica	8	0	4	4	-7	4
18	Tefik Canga	9	0	3	6	-7	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dinamo Ferizaj win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.