Austria · Landesliga - Wien · Wien - 2414:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 2 May 2026

Sportplatz Helfort · Analysis updated 06:27 UTC

Dinamo Helfort vs First Vienna II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Dinamo Helfort and 1.18 for First Vienna II, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Dinamo Helfort the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Helfort win

46.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • First Vienna II away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Helfort to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.57 goals for Dinamo Helfort and 1.18 for First Vienna II, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Helfort win46%
Draw25%
First Vienna II win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 0–17.5%

Recent form

Dinamo Helfort

    First Vienna II

    • 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Star Penzing · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorwärts Brigittenau · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FAC Wien · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria XIII · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Wien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Wienerberg2822425470
    2Dinamo Helfort2718543059
    3LAC-Inter2816572153
    41980 Wien281297745
    5Red Star Penzing2612771043
    6First Vienna II2512672442
    7Austria XIII261088338
    8Gerasdorf Stammersdorf259610-733
    9Vorwärts Brigittenau279315-3430
    10Schwechat279216-429
    11Hellas Kagran287813-1929
    12Slovan HAC268315-1027
    13FAC Wien257513-726
    14Simmeringer SC275616-3321
    15Stadlau264715-1919
    16Mauerwerk11227-168

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dinamo Helfort win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.