Austria · Landesliga - Wien · Wien - 3015:00

2 – 0

Monday, 25 May 2026

SchwechatWLWWW

Sportplatz Helfort · Analysis updated 17:49 UTC

Dinamo Helfort vs Schwechat Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Dinamo Helfort and 0.99 for Schwechat, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Dinamo Helfort the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Helfort win

69.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.46 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Schwechat away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Helfort to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.46 goals for Dinamo Helfort and 0.99 for Schwechat, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Helfort win70%
Draw17%
Schwechat win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–07.9%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 3–17.8%

Recent form

Dinamo Helfort

    Schwechat

    • 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs LAC-Inter · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Simmeringer SC · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria XIII · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Helfort · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stadlau · 5-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Wien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Wienerberg2822425470
    2Dinamo Helfort2718543059
    3LAC-Inter2816572153
    41980 Wien281297745
    5Red Star Penzing2612771043
    6First Vienna II2512672442
    7Austria XIII261088338
    8Gerasdorf Stammersdorf259610-733
    9Vorwärts Brigittenau279315-3430
    10Schwechat279216-429
    11Hellas Kagran287813-1929
    12Slovan HAC268315-1027
    13FAC Wien257513-726
    14Simmeringer SC275616-3321
    15Stadlau264715-1919
    16Mauerwerk11227-168

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dinamo Helfort win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.