Belarus · 1. Division · Regular Season - 2012:00

12:00 UTC

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Minsk IILWWWW

RCOP-BGU Stadium · Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Dinamo Minsk II vs Minsk II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.24 expected goals for Dinamo Minsk II and 1.17 for Minsk II, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Dinamo Minsk II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Dinamo Minsk II to Win

61.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.24 – 1.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Minsk II win62%
Draw20%
Minsk II win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 3–17.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Minsk II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.24 goals for Dinamo Minsk II and 1.17 for Minsk II, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    Dinamo Minsk II to Win is the headline pick at 62% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Dinamo Minsk II

    Minsk II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      1. Division table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Niva2013342642
      2FC Slutsk2012441740
      3FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk2011541738
      4Lida201136536
      5Slonim1910361233
      6Molodechno-DYuSSh 4201028032
      7Volna19946531
      8Shakhter Soligorsk20857629
      9Bumprom19847728
      10Dinamo Minsk II18747625
      11Minsk II198110-1125
      12Orsha19649-1222
      13Ostrovets FC19496-421
      14Uni Minsk20569-1021
      15Gomel II205510-520
      16Smorgon19559-720
      17Osipovichy204214-2914
      18BATE II192512-2311

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.