· Analysis updated 15:49 UTC
Dinamo Moskva II vs Irtysh Omsk Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Dinamo Moskva II and 1.75 for Irtysh Omsk, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Dinamo Moskva II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.2% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Moskva II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Irtysh Omsk away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Moskva II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Dinamo Moskva II and 1.75 for Irtysh Omsk, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.3%
Recent form
Dinamo Moskva II
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Stavropol · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Amkar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit 2 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 2-5 (L)
Irtysh Omsk
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Moskva II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit 2 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Miass · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Stavropol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 32 |
| 2 | Amkar | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moskva II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 8 |
| 7 | Irtysh Omsk | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.