· Analysis updated 13:44 UTC
Dinamo Moskva II vs Tyumen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Dinamo Moskva II and 2.58 for Tyumen, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Tyumen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tyumen win
69.2% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Moskva II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tyumen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–37.2%
- 1–17.1%
Recent form
Dinamo Moskva II
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Stavropol · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Amkar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit 2 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 2-5 (L)
Tyumen
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zenit 2 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Miass · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-12T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 0-2 Tyumen (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2026-05-02T10:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 2-7 Tyumen (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2026-03-14T09:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 2-1 Tyumen (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2025-10-19T09:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 0-2 Tyumen (Second League A - Division A Gold)
- 2025-08-24T14:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 0-6 Tyumen (Second League A - Division A Gold)
- 2025-02-06T08:30:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 0-2 Tyumen (Friendlies Clubs)
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 32 |
| 2 | Amkar | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moskva II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 8 |
| 7 | Irtysh Omsk | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tyumen win, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.