· Analysis updated 07:53 UTC
Dinamo Moskva II vs Zenit 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for Dinamo Moskva II and 2.15 for Zenit 2, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Zenit 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zenit 2 win
71.4% probability
Expected goals
0.68 – 2.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Moskva II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zenit 2 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
29%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–213.7%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–39.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.6%
Recent form
Dinamo Moskva II
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Stavropol · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Amkar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit 2 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 2-5 (L)
Zenit 2
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Moskva II · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 0-5 Zenit 2 (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2026-05-24T16:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 2-2 Zenit 2 (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2026-04-05T10:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 3-1 Zenit 2 (Second League A - Division A Silver)
- 2024-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-1 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2024-04-13T11:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-0 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2023-11-12T10:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-3 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2023-05-20T11:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-2 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2023-04-16T12:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-1 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2021-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 2-2 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
- 2020-11-01T10:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Moskva II 1-3 Zenit 2 (Second League - Group 2)
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 32 |
| 2 | Amkar | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moskva II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 8 |
| 7 | Irtysh Omsk | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zenit 2 win, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.