Croatia · Third NL - Sjever · North - 813:30

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Saturday, 11 October 2025

Igralište Brana · Analysis updated 23:52 UTC

Dinamo Predavac vs Garić Garešnica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Dinamo Predavac and 0.83 for Garić Garešnica, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Dinamo Predavac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Predavac win

73.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Predavac home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Predavac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 16% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.50 goals for Dinamo Predavac and 0.83 for Garić Garešnica, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 52%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Predavac win74%
Draw16%
Garić Garešnica win11%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–09.3%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 3–17.7%

Recent form

Dinamo Predavac

  • 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-11-29T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Polet · 0-1 (L)
  • 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Međimurec Pretetinec · 3-3 (D)
  • 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 1-1 (D)
  • 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Domašinec · 3-0 (W)

Garić Garešnica

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Third NL - Sjever table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Koprivnica1511222835
    2Graničar Đurđevac1510413534
    3Dinamo Predavac159421531
    4Rudar Mursko Središće158431428
    5Bilogora 9115816325
    6Međimurec Pretetinec15744125
    7Polet15726-223
    8Graničar Kotoriba14707621
    9Pitomača15546-919
    10Slatina15537-418
    11Podravina Ludbreg15366-1015
    12Medjimurje Cakovec15348-913
    13Garić Garešnica14347-1313
    14Daruvar14329-1411
    15Nedelišće143110-1610
    16Dinamo Domašinec152310-259

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dinamo Predavac win, at 73.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

    A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.