Croatia · Cup · Round of 6414:30

0 – 2

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 10:00 UTC

Dinamo Predavac vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Dinamo Predavac and 1.14 for Hrvatski Dragovoljac, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Dinamo Predavac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Predavac win

50.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Predavac home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hrvatski Dragovoljac away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Predavac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Dinamo Predavac and 1.14 for Hrvatski Dragovoljac, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Predavac win51%
Draw24%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–16.5%

Recent form

Dinamo Predavac

  • 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-11-29T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Polet · 0-1 (L)
  • 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Međimurec Pretetinec · 3-3 (D)
  • 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 1-1 (D)
  • 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Domašinec · 3-0 (W)

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Grobničan Čavle · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Križevci · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trnje · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavonija Požega · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs NK Slaven Belupo · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dinamo Predavac win, at 50.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.