Croatia · Third NL - Sjever · North - 1013:00

3 – 2

Saturday, 25 October 2025

KoprivnicaWWDLD

Igralište Brana · Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

Dinamo Predavac vs Koprivnica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Dinamo Predavac and 1.63 for Koprivnica, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Koprivnica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Koprivnica win

48.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dinamo Predavac home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Koprivnica away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Koprivnica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 25% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.14 goals for Dinamo Predavac and 1.63 for Koprivnica, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Predavac win27%
Draw25%
Koprivnica win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 1–07.2%

Recent form

Dinamo Predavac

  • 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-11-29T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Polet · 0-1 (L)
  • 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Međimurec Pretetinec · 3-3 (D)
  • 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 1-1 (D)
  • 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Domašinec · 3-0 (W)

Koprivnica

  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grobničan Čavle · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Križevci · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudes · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Trnje · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavonija Požega · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third NL - Sjever table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koprivnica1511222835
2Graničar Đurđevac1510413534
3Dinamo Predavac159421531
4Rudar Mursko Središće158431428
5Bilogora 9115816325
6Međimurec Pretetinec15744125
7Polet15726-223
8Graničar Kotoriba14707621
9Pitomača15546-919
10Slatina15537-418
11Podravina Ludbreg15366-1015
12Medjimurje Cakovec15348-913
13Garić Garešnica14347-1313
14Daruvar14329-1411
15Nedelišće143110-1610
16Dinamo Domašinec152310-259

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Koprivnica win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.