Essentuki Arena · Analysis updated 17:51 UTC
Dinamo Stavropol vs Zenit 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.64 expected goals for Dinamo Stavropol and 2.23 for Zenit 2, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Zenit 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zenit 2 win
73.8% probability
Expected goals
0.64 – 2.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Stavropol home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zenit 2 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zenit 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 9% / 17% / 74% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.64 goals for Dinamo Stavropol and 2.23 for Zenit 2, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
26%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–214.1%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–310.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.1%
Recent form
Dinamo Stavropol
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nizhny Novgorod · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Miass · 1-2 (L)
Zenit 2
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Moskva II · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 26 |
| 2 | Amkar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moskva II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -21 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zenit 2 win, at 73.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.