Vitali Daraselia Academy · Analysis updated 12:53 UTC
Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Didube 2014 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Dinamo Tbilisi II and 1.75 for Didube 2014, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Dinamo Tbilisi II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.6% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Tbilisi II home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Didube 2014 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Tbilisi II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi II and 1.75 for Didube 2014, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.2%
Recent form
Dinamo Tbilisi II
- 2026-09-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Guria · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gonio · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Iberia 1999 II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Iveria Khashuri · 5-2 (W)
Didube 2014
- 2026-10-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gonio · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Iberia 1999 II · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Iveria Khashuri · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Iberia 2010 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 56 | 56 |
| 2 | Varketili | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Gonio | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Merani Tbilisi | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | WIT Georgia | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Didube 2014 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 26 |
| 13 | Iveria Khashuri | 25 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 | Gardabani | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -42 | 16 |
| 15 | Betlemi | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -51 | 16 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -37 | 14 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.