Stadion Dinamo · Analysis updated 07:04 UTC
Dinamo Vladivostok vs FK Sokol Saratov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Dinamo Vladivostok and 1.33 for FK Sokol Saratov, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives FK Sokol Saratov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FK Sokol Saratov win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinamo Vladivostok home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
FK Sokol Saratov away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.7%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–09.7%
Recent form
Dinamo Vladivostok
- 2026-10-04T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Volgar Astrakhan · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Bryansk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Rodina Moskva II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaluga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz · 0-0 (D)
FK Sokol Saratov
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mashuk-KMV · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-21T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Kirov · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Volgar Astrakhan · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Leningradets · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-16T08:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Vladivostok 1-0 FK Sokol Saratov (Second League A - Division A Gold)
- 2022-10-27T09:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Vladivostok 0-1 FK Sokol Saratov (Second League - Group 3)
- 2022-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Vladivostok 0-1 FK Sokol Saratov (Second League - Group 3)
- 2021-10-31T14:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Vladivostok 2-2 FK Sokol Saratov (Second League - Group 3)
- 2021-09-02T08:30:00.000Z · Dinamo Vladivostok 3-2 FK Sokol Saratov (Second League - Group 3)
Second League A - Division A Gold table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Novosibirsk | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Mashuk-KMV | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Dinamo Bryansk | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 | Volgar Astrakhan | 14 | 1 | 11 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Kaluga | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Sokol Saratov | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FK Sokol Saratov win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.