Dinaz Stadium · Analysis updated 17:19 UTC
Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Bratslav Vinnytsia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Dinaz Vyshhorod and 2.50 for Bratslav Vinnytsia, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Bratslav Vinnytsia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bratslav Vinnytsia win
66.8% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dinaz Vyshhorod home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bratslav Vinnytsia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bratslav Vinnytsia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 16% / 18% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Dinaz Vyshhorod and 2.50 for Bratslav Vinnytsia, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–37.8%
- 1–17.5%
- 0–36.8%
Recent form
Dinaz Vyshhorod
- 2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Ruh Lviv · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T09:15:00.000Z · H vs Skala 1911 Stryi · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Dnister Zalishchyky · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 0-1 (L)
Bratslav Vinnytsia
- 2026-10-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ruh Lviv · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Skala 1911 Stryi · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · Dinaz Vyshhorod 0-2 Bratslav Vinnytsia (Druha Liga)
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Lozova | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Rebel | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Vilkhivtsi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | Trostianets | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Atlet | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Oleksandria II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Penuel | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bratslav Vinnytsia win, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.