Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Ruh Lviv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Dinaz Vyshhorod and 1.97 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Ruh Lviv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dinaz Vyshhorod home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ruh Lviv away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ruh Lviv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 37% / 21% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Dinaz Vyshhorod and 1.97 for Ruh Lviv, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dinaz Vyshhorod win37%

Draw21%

Ruh Lviv win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–18.1%
1–28.0%
2–17.4%
2–27.3%
1–35.2%

Recent form

Dinaz Vyshhorod

2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Dnister Zalishchyky · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-04T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 2-2 (D)

Ruh Lviv

2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-27T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Vilkhivtsi · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Druha Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	11	7	4	0	17	25
1	Karbon Cherkasy	9	5	3	1	11	18
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	11	6	3	2	6	21
2	Lozova	9	5	1	3	1	16
3	Nyva Vinnytsya	10	5	4	1	7	19
3	Trostianets	10	3	5	2	3	14
4	Vilkhivtsi	10	3	4	3	-2	13
4	SC Poltava 2	10	4	2	4	1	14
5	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	10	4	1	5	-4	13
5	Atlet	9	3	4	2	4	13
6	Nyva Ternopil II	11	3	3	5	-7	12
6	Metalurh Zaporizhya	9	3	3	3	1	12
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	10	3	2	5	-4	11
7	Rebel	8	3	2	3	0	11
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	10	1	4	5	-10	7
8	Oleksandria II	10	2	4	4	-2	10
9	Ruh Lviv	9	1	1	7	-3	4
9	Penuel	10	1	2	7	-19	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.