DVTK Stadion · Analysis updated 13:43 UTC
Diosgyori VTK vs BVSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Diosgyori VTK and 1.10 for BVSC, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Diosgyori VTK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.6% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Diosgyori VTK home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
BVSC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Diosgyori VTK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 28% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Diosgyori VTK and 1.10 for BVSC, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–17.9%
Recent form
Diosgyori VTK
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyirmot SE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Fehérvár FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs BVSC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tiszakecske FC · 1-4 (L)
BVSC
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szentlőrinc SE · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 0-2 BVSC (NB II)
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Kecskeméti TE | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Tiszakecske FC | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyirmot SE | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ajka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fehérvár FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Karcag SE | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Szentlőrinc SE | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Diosgyori VTK | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | BVSC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Csakvar | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.