· Analysis updated 10:24 UTC
DJK Bamberg vs Jahn Regensburg II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for DJK Bamberg and 2.34 for Jahn Regensburg II, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Jahn Regensburg II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jahn Regensburg II win
58.7% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 2.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
DJK Bamberg home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jahn Regensburg II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jahn Regensburg II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 22% / 19% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for DJK Bamberg and 2.34 for Jahn Regensburg II, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–17.8%
- 1–37.1%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.3%
Recent form
DJK Bamberg
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Cham · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Bamberg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Neudrossenfeld · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nordlingen · 1-0 (W)
Jahn Regensburg II
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gebenbach · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stadeln · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Regensburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiden · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayern Hof · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Bayern Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Bayern Hof | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Eintracht Bamberg | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Würzburger FV | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Kornburg | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Gebenbach | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| 7 | Jahn Regensburg II | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 26 |
| 8 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Fortuna Regensburg | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Stadeln | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | Weiden | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Großbardorf | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 | Ammerthal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 16 | Ingolstadt II | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Nordlingen | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -23 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jahn Regensburg II win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.