Stockholms Olympiastadion · Analysis updated 07:07 UTC
Djurgården W vs Kristianstad W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Djurgården W and 1.30 for Kristianstad W, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Djurgården W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Djurgården W win
48.6% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Djurgården W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kristianstad W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.9%
Recent form
Djurgården W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs AIK W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Älvsjö AIK W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Malmö FF W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kristianstad W · 0-2 (L)
Kristianstad W
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Växjö W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Värnamo W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Piteå W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Djurgården W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 0-2 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2026-04-03T11:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-4 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2025-11-01T12:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 4-2 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2025-03-23T14:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 2-1 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2024-11-02T12:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-3 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2024-06-16T13:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-2 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-1 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-05-19T16:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-4 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2022-09-24T13:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 0-4 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2022-05-01T13:00:00.000Z · Djurgården W 1-0 Kristianstad W (Damallsvenskan)
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstad W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna W | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgården W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna United W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 10 | Piteå W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Rosengård W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 20 |
| 13 | Växjö W | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 18 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -64 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Djurgården W win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.