Stockholms Olympiastadion · Analysis updated 11:06 UTC
Djurgården W vs Vittsjö W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Djurgården W and 1.35 for Vittsjö W, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Djurgården W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.5% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Djurgården W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vittsjö W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Djurgården W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Djurgården W and 1.35 for Vittsjö W, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Djurgården W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs AIK W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Älvsjö AIK W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Malmö FF W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kristianstad W · 0-2 (L)
Vittsjö W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstad W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna W | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgården W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna United W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 10 | Piteå W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Rosengård W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 20 |
| 13 | Växjö W | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 18 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -64 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.