Bulgaria · Second League · Matchweek 417:00
DobrudzhaLWLLD

0 – 1

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Yantra 2019WLLLW

Druzhba · Analysis updated 13:27 UTC

Dobrudzha vs Yantra 2019 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Dobrudzha and 0.95 for Yantra 2019, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Dobrudzha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dobrudzha win

62.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.05 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dobrudzha home form

    2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Yantra 2019 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dobrudzha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.05 goals for Dobrudzha and 0.95 for Yantra 2019, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dobrudzha win63%
Draw21%
Yantra 2019 win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 2–010.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–07.1%

Recent form

Dobrudzha

  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Belasitsa · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hebar 1918 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs CSKA Sofia II · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vihren · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Beroe · 2-2 (D)

Yantra 2019

  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rilski Sportist · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marek · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportist Svoge · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II127321424
2Vihren127321324
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas127321324
4Fratria12642722
5Rilski Sportist12543419
6Yantra 201912615219
7Nesebar12534318
8Beroe12534318
9Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa12453-117
10Hebar 191812525717
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo11524017
12Marek12525017
13Ludogorets II11434015
14Spartak Pleven12426-1114
15Montana12327-1111
16Sportist Svoge12246-510
17Dobrudzha12237-99
18Pirin Blagoevgrad120111-291

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dobrudzha win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.