Druzhba · Analysis updated 13:27 UTC
Dobrudzha vs Yantra 2019 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Dobrudzha and 0.95 for Yantra 2019, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Dobrudzha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dobrudzha win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dobrudzha home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Yantra 2019 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dobrudzha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Dobrudzha and 0.95 for Yantra 2019, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
Dobrudzha
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Belasitsa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hebar 1918 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs CSKA Sofia II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vihren · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Beroe · 2-2 (D)
Yantra 2019
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rilski Sportist · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marek · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportist Svoge · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Vihren | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Rilski Sportist | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Yantra 2019 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Beroe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Marek | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Spartak Pleven | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -29 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dobrudzha win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.