· Analysis updated 13:43 UTC
Dollingstown vs Linfield Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Dollingstown and 1.56 for Linfield, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Linfield the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.3% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dollingstown home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Linfield away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Linfield to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 32% / 25% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Dollingstown and 1.56 for Linfield, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.4%
Recent form
Dollingstown
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Linfield · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-07-24T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Loughgall · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Newry City AFC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-25T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Moyola Park · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:55.000Z · A vs Banbridge Town · 3-0 (W)
Linfield
- 2026-09-25T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Coleraine FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Crusaders FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Portadown · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dungannon Swifts · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Carrick Rangers · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · Dollingstown 1-7 Linfield (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.