· Analysis updated 15:59 UTC
Dolný Kubín vs Fomat Martin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Dolný Kubín and 4.50 for Fomat Martin, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives Fomat Martin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fomat Martin win
77.7% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dolný Kubín home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fomat Martin away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
22%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–45.1%
- 2–45.1%
- 1–54.6%
- 2–54.6%
- 1–34.6%
Recent form
Dolný Kubín
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Námestovo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok II · 0-6 (L)
Fomat Martin
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Novohrad Lučenec · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Banská Byst II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Podkonice · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Oravské Veselé · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Čadca · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 2-3 Fomat Martin (3. liga - Center)
- 2026-04-25T14:30:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 0-4 Fomat Martin (3. liga - Center)
- 2025-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 0-0 Fomat Martin (3. liga - Center)
- 2024-02-07T16:30:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 0-1 Fomat Martin (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-05-07T14:30:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 2-1 Fomat Martin (3. liga - Center)
- 2021-09-11T13:30:00.000Z · Dolný Kubín 2-0 Fomat Martin (3. liga - Center)
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 23 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Fiľakovo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Fomat Martin | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Čadca | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Podkonice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Rimavská Sobota | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Novohrad Lučenec | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Baník Kalinovo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Oravské Veselé | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Sokol Medzibrod | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 13 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fomat Martin win, at 77.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.